Week of January 26 to 30 Global markets reflect a balance between solid growth in developed economies, persistent inflationary pressures in certain sectors, and ongoing […]
Insights AWM
We share market analysis, economic outlooks, and insights on relevant financial topics prepared by our Investment Committee. This material is intended for informational purposes only and does not represent the views of any individual advisor.
Global outlook: inflation, growth, and trade
The Fed Pauses Rate Cuts Amid Resilience Signals
The Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.5%–3.75%, signaling a more optimistic view of the U.S. economy. […]
Global outlook: growth and inflation in focus
Week of January 19–23 Global markets reflect a balance between resilient growth, easing inflation in some regions, and persistent pressures in others, shaping monetary policy expectations and economic activity in 2025. United States Q3 GDP was revised up to a 4.4% annualized rate, driven by exports, business investment, and strong consumer spending. The Federal Reserve is expected to keep rates at 3.50%–3.75% this quarter, reflecting a cautious stance amid mixed economic data. Europe Eurozone inflation closed 2025 at 1.9%, below the European Central Bank’s 2% target. Germany’s economic confidence improved after several difficult quarters, while the United Kingdom continues to face persistent inflation pressures that complicate monetary policy decisions. Japan Inflation eased to 2.1% year over year in December. Lower energy prices offset underlying pressures, although core inflation remains above the Bank of Japan’s target, maintaining uncertainty about future monetary adjustments. China GDP grew 4.5% […]
The Peace Dividend Is Over: Rethinking Defense in Portfolios
The peace dividend many of us were born into has expired. We’re entering a new geopolitical reality—one where defense investment can no longer be ignored, even in the most ethically […]
Mixed outlook between inflation and growth
Week of January 12–16 Key data on inflation, consumption, and growth shape the start of 2026 This week, markets reacted to mixed signals: stable U.S. inflation, positive surprises in retail sales, and uneven growth across Europe. Meanwhile, China strengthened its global trade presence, and Argentina closed the year with its lowest inflation in eight years. United States Headline inflation held at 2.7% and core inflation at 2.6%. PPI rebounded to 3% due to energy. Retail sales rose 0.6%, pointing to a segmented consumption pattern. Projected GDP was revised to 5.1%. The earnings season begins with positive results from banks. Europe Germany exits recession with 0.2% annual growth, though industrial activity remains weak. The United Kingdom surprised with 1.4% annual growth. Trade association BGA expects a modest recovery in Germany’s wholesale sector […]
U.S. core inflation cools further
U.S. core inflation came in softer than expected in December, reinforcing the view that underlying price pressures are gradually easing. […]
