Weekly Global Outlook

Week of September 14–18 The Fed raises rates again as central banks adjust their strategies amid mixed economic signals. Markets are navigating high interest rates, persistent inflation, and diverging economic signals. While the Fed resumed rate hikes, other economies are adjusting monetary policy to address different growth challenges. United States The Fed […]
Rates

The Fed raised rates by 25 bps and signaled another increase could come this year. The Fed Takes a Firmer Stance on Inflation Persistent inflation pushes the Fed toward tighter monetary policy. The Fed raised its policy rate by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75%–4.00%, its first increase since 2023. The unanimous decision […]
Weekly Global Outlook

Week of September 7–11 Persistent inflation, higher interest rates, and mixed signals for global growth. Inflation returned to the forefront of market attention. The Fed and ECB face greater pressure on interest rates, while Asia shows mixed signals and Latin America continues to see a gradual easing in price pressures. United States Annual inflation stood at 3.4% […]
Rates

Rates are normalizing and reshaping opportunities for investors. A New Environment for Stocks and Bonds U.S. Treasury yields have risen amid a resilient economy, persistent inflation, and higher government debt. Although higher rates often generate volatility, they have historically not prevented stocks from performing well when accompanied by economic growth. At the same time, yields […]
Weekly Global Outlook

Week of August 31 to September 4 Resilient employment, persistent inflation, and new signals on the path of interest rates. The global economy continued to show resilience, although price pressures remain. U.S. employment surprised to the upside, while Europe faces higher inflation and Asia shows more favorable economic activity. United States La economía […]
Climate

Europe shows how extreme weather can affect growth, inflation, and energy. The Economic Cost of More Extreme Weather. Extreme weather is becoming an increasingly relevant economic and financial factor. High temperatures, droughts, and wildfires across Europe show how extreme weather can quickly spill over into the economy. Lower productivity, agricultural disruptions, constraints on power generation, […]
Weekly Global Outlook

Week of August 24–28 Resilient growth, persistent inflation and central banks under pressure. Markets closed out a week of mixed signals. Economic activity remained resilient across several economies, while inflation and interest rates continue to shape central bank decisions. United States Nvidia stood out on strong AI demand, while GDP grew at […]
Reserves

The reserve’s decline raises concerns about its ability to respond to future energy emergencies. The U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve fell below 300 million barrels, its lowest level since it was filled in the 1980s. After releasing 172 million barrels in response to disruptions stemming from the conflict with Iran, inventories could decline to around 243 […]